According to statistics, the price trend of domestic hydrofluoric acid rose this week. As of the end of the week, the price was 10240 yuan / ton, 1.89% higher than the price of 10050 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week, down 29.98% year on year.

Product: this week, the price trend of hydrofluoric acid slightly increased. In the near future, the on-site manufacturers are generally on the way. The operating rate of the downstream refrigerant industry remains at a low level. The demand for domestic hydrofluoric acid market is limited. In addition, the domestic hydrofluoric acid plant maintains a high operating rate, and the domestic spot supply is sufficient. However, in the near future, the price of fluorite remains high, and the domestic price trend slightly increases. By the end of the week The mainstream of hydrofluoric acid negotiation in the south is 10000-11000 yuan / ton, and the price of hydrofluoric acid in the north market is 10000-10500 yuan / ton. Recently, the price of domestic hydrofluoric acid market has increased slightly. In the near future, the demand of downstream refrigerant industry is general, and the supply of hydrofluoric acid manufacturers is general. Some manufacturers report that there is a continuous upward trend in the near future. By the end of the week, the mainstream of domestic hydrofluoric acid negotiation in Fujian was about 10000-10500 yuan / ton, the price of hydrofluoric acid in Shandong was 9500-10500 yuan / ton, the price of hydrofluoric acid in Jiangxi was 9500-11000 yuan / ton, the price of hydrofluoric acid in Inner Mongolia was 9500-10500 yuan / ton, and the price trend of hydrofluoric acid market rose slightly.

Industry chain: the price of fluorite in the upstream of hydrofluoric acid is stable this week. By the end of the week, the ex factory price of fluorite is 2883.33 yuan / ton. The supply of fluorite in China is normal, but the price of fluorite has little change. The upstream cost price has a certain impact on the cost support of hydrofluoric acid market. With the decrease of gas temperature, the supply of fluorite in the north will gradually decline. At that time, the price of fluorite may rise. For hydrogen There are some positive expectations for the fluoroacid market. In the near future, the transaction market of the downstream refrigerant market of the terminal has increased slightly. At present, the automobile industry has entered the cycle of goods preparation. The supply of R22 in China is tight. The market price of R22 in China has increased. The starting load of the manufacturer’s production unit is still not high. The supply capacity of the market source has declined. The downstream air conditioning manufacturer has maintained the demand, but the supply is tight. The price of domestic large enterprises is mainly Flow rose to 13500-14500 yuan / ton. The price trend of R134a market in China has increased slightly, and the unit operating rate of production enterprises has maintained a low level. At present, the automobile industry has entered the stock cycle, and the demand for R134a has slightly improved, while the supply of R134a in the market is a little tight, the price has slightly increased, the downstream market has improved, and the price trend of hydrofluoric acid market has slightly increased. In the near future, the price trend of the downstream product aluminum fluoride is temporarily stable, at the weekend it is 9000 yuan / ton. This week, the price trend is stable, the downstream market is general, and the price trend of hydrofluoric acid market is slightly higher.

Industry: this week, the upstream raw materials fluorite and hydrofluoric acid market spot supply is normal, coupled with the general trading market of the downstream refrigerant industry, hydrofluoric acid market price trend is stable.

In the near future, the operation rate of domestic refrigerant unit has not changed much. For the demand of hydrofluoric acid market, purchase is required, and the spot supply in hydrofluoric acid field is normal. However, in the near future, the supply of raw material market has decreased, and the price of fluorite has been supported to some extent. Chen Ling, an analyst of hydrofluoric acid in business association, thinks that the market price of hydrofluoric acid will rise slightly next week.

I. price trend

According to the data monitored by the business agency, the domestic PP market in the first half of December was volatile and weak. As of Friday, December 13, some spot prices were lower than the beginning of the month. The main offer price of T30S from domestic producers and traders is about 8133.33 yuan / ton, down 2.01% from the beginning of the week.

II. Cause analysis

Upstream: according to the data in the business club’s bulk list, the market price of PP raw material propylene in China has declined continuously in recent years. At the beginning of December, affected by the international crude oil “Black Friday” market, the price began to decline all the way. In the near future, due to the impact of heavy fog in Shandong Province, the logistics is not smooth, and the external supply is blocked, which supports the propylene market. On the outside, US polymer grade propylene spot price fell to the lowest level in more than three years on Thursday, which also had a negative impact on propylene. On the upstream side, the OPEC + meeting delayed and strengthened the production reduction agreement, and the international crude oil rose sharply, which had a positive impact on propylene. The downstream procurement is still good, which has a certain positive impact on propylene. It is expected that the market price of propylene will start to stabilize and recover in recent days.

Product: upstream propylene is weak, and the average operating rate of domestic PP polymerization enterprises this week is about 95.09%, slightly higher than that of last week, and there is no news of shutdown and maintenance device in the near future. It is expected that the operation rate of domestic polypropylene enterprises will be stable next week. In terms of inventory, the total PP inventory of each sales company of two barrels of oil continued to decline slightly, and the inventory of traders also continued to decline. At present, the operation of petrochemical enterprises is still inclined to destocking, the mentality of the operators is short, and the factory price is difficult to go higher. The operation rate of downstream plants increased slightly, but the improvement of PP demand has not yet appeared. Generally speaking, the trading volume is still weak, and the price support is not good. The propylene market price in Shandong continues to decline. In terms of external news, the International Monetary Fund lowered the global economic growth rate to 3% in 2019, the lowest growth rate in 10 years, which hit market confidence.

III. future forecast

According to PP analysts of business club, domestic PP prices fell in the first half of December. The upstream propylene market is weak and the cost end support is limited. There is no centralized purchase for the downstream factories, the confidence of the operators is insufficient, the quotation keeps falling, and the operation is cautious. It is expected that PP market will continue to adjust at a low level in the near future. It is suggested to pay close attention to the change of propylene market at the cost end in the near future.

I. price trend

The overall atmosphere of EPS market operation is not good, the attitude of merchants is flat, the atmosphere of market trading and investment is light, the downstream factories are still dominated by purchase with use, the field is stable for shipment, and the firm offer is negotiated.

II. Market analysis

EPS Market: EPS market price fell, Wuxi Xingda EPS factory price, common material quotation is 9100 yuan / ton. The ex factory price of Hairong EPS in Dongying is 9100 yuan / ton for common materials. The ex factory price of Jiangyin Hupao EPS is 9200 yuan / ton for common materials.

III. future forecast

EPS market overall weak operation. Due to the general demand in the downstream market, rigid purchase is the main demand, and the transaction in the spot market is in a stalemate state. Traders tend to be cautious and wait-and-see. EPS market is expected to maintain a stable, medium and narrow range consolidation pattern.

In November, the performance of domestic liquid ammonia market was sluggish, continuing the downward trend of last month, and the price hit a new low. At the end of the month, the price in most parts of the country still showed no sign of stabilizing. According to the monitoring of the business agency, the drop of liquid ammonia Market in Shandong Province reached 5.53%, and the price of liquid ammonia in Shandong Province was generally 2700-2800 yuan / ton. It is 200-300 yuan / ton lower than last month. The overall market atmosphere is relatively low, and the expectation for the later market is low.

In terms of supply, the overall supply of liquid ammonia Market in November was relatively surplus, and the unit operating rate of enterprises was slightly higher. In Shanxi and Shandong areas, the peak shifting and production limiting, the coming of winter haze, the increasing pressure of environmental protection, and the limited transportation in Wuhan, Hubei Province, lead to the tight supply of liquid ammonia in some areas; while the start-up of other liquid ammonia enterprises is still at a high level, with the full resumption of production of liquid ammonia units in Hubei, the price of liquid ammonia has declined. In addition, in the near future, manufacturers in Anhui Province have maintenance plans. In the next month, the operating rate of liquid ammonia enterprises will be reduced, and the local liquid ammonia market may pick up. However, in the whole country, the overall trend of liquid ammonia is still not optimistic, mainly due to the relative lack of downstream demand. At present, the market is still in a situation of weak supply and demand.

In terms of demand, the demand for liquid ammonia continued to decline in November. First of all, the downstream operating rate remained low, and under the double pressure of environmental protection and safety, the operating rate of some chemical enterprises continued to be low, and the sales progress of compound fertilizer enterprises was slow, the fertilizer procurement entered the market off-season, and the production enthusiasm was not high, especially the situation of small and medium-sized compound fertilizer enterprises stopping production or reducing production was particularly obvious In the aspect of phosphate fertilizer, the demand of phosphate compound fertilizer has entered into the window period of demand, the fertilizer land in winter market has gradually shrunk, some enterprises have stopped for maintenance, and the demand for liquid ammonia is shrinking. At the same time, Hubei, as a phosphate fertilizer enterprise with 40% capacity, has a large production limit.

In the future, the business community believes that the liquid ammonia market may be difficult to get out of the strong market in the short term, which is mainly affected by the weak demand in most regions, resulting in the overstock of inventory. The recent market does not exclude the possibility of further exploration.

On the 29th, according to the monitoring of the business agency, the domestic liquid ammonia market tends to be stable, with a slight decline in some areas. On the 29th, the drop of liquid ammonia was 0.84% in the week. On the weekend, most of the manufacturers reported a stable decline, some of them were down 50 yuan / ton. Some of the enterprises in the main production area of Shandong Province maintained a stable decline, some of them were down 50 yuan / ton, and the price in the northwest region remained stable. At present, there is a surplus of local ammonia, especially some of the manufacturers in Shandong Province have a relatively wide supply of goods Loose, the pressure of enterprise shipment is increasing, but the price of manufacturers with large ammonia volume is mainly stable, and the main quotation in Shandong is 2750-2850 yuan / ton.

In North China, the liquid ammonia is also slightly lower. The lack of demand leads to the current ammonia storage and price decline. The shipment pressure increases significantly. There are many downstream stoppages. The main quotation in North China is 2800 yuan / ton up and down.

The increasing pressure of environmental protection in Hebei region has led to the majority of enterprises limiting production. The shutdown of large downstream enterprises, such as China and Afghanistan, has led to weak demand in the downstream. There are many enterprises accumulating inventory, and the price has not changed significantly. The mainstream quotation in Hebei is 2770-2850 yuan / ton.

Over the weekend, there was a slight downward trend in Central China, and the delivery pressure in Hubei was obvious. Part of Henan was affected by environmental pressure, and the price gave way to more profits. At present, the liquid ammonia market is full of negative atmosphere, weak operation, and the mainstream quotation in Henan is up and down 2700 yuan / ton.

In the future, the business club believes that the market may continue to maintain a weak position in the short term, mainly affected by the high ammonia volume in most regions. The recent market does not exclude the possibility of continuing to explore low.

I. trend analysis

In November, the cis-1,4-polybutadiene rubber market fell first and then rose. According to the monitoring of the business association, the price of cis-1,4-polybutadiene rubber in early November was 1100075 yuan / ton, then fell to 10725 yuan / ton, and then rebounded to 11075 yuan / ton at the end of the month. The overall price at the end of the month was 0.68% higher than that at the beginning of the month, and 3.26% higher than the low point at the end of the month.

II. Market analysis

First, in November, the raw material butadiene first fell and then rose, forming a resonance with cis-1,4-polybutadiene rubber. According to the monitoring of the business agency, the price of butadiene in early November was 9123 yuan / ton, which fell to 8537 yuan / ton in the middle of the month, and 8834 yuan / ton in the end of the month. The price at the end of the month was 3.17% lower than that at the beginning of the month, and the amplitude at the higher point was 6.42% higher than that at the lower point of the month.

Secondly, according to the business club, the inventory of domestic cis-1,4-polybutadiene rubber traders continued to decline slightly in November, forming a certain support for cis-1,4-polybutadiene rubber. According to the information of the business association, at present, the start-up load of Shunding unit of Yangzi Petrochemical Co., Ltd. and Sichuan Petrochemical Co., Ltd. is a little lower, and the units of Qilu, Yanshan, Maoming, Daqing and Dushanzi are in normal operation.

Third, the price of natural rubber rose sharply in November, to a certain extent, pulling the rise of synthetic rubber. According to the monitoring of the business agency, the price of natural rubber at the beginning of the month was 11230 yuan / ton in November, and the peak at the end of the month was 12116 yuan / ton, up 7.89% from the beginning of the month.

Finally, the output of downstream tires declined year-on-year, with a certain demand for cis-1,4-polybutadiene rubber, but there is still a risk of weakness. According to the business agency, in October 2019, the output of domestic rubber tires was 71.289 million, down 3.28% month on month, up 3.4% year on year; from January to October, the output of domestic rubber tires was 70.325 million, up 2.5% year on year.

III. future prospects

Business analysts believe that although skyrubber is favorable for the rise of synthetic rubber, we still need to be alert to the weakening of downstream demand in the later period, which is a certain negative for cis-1,4-polybutadiene rubber. It is expected that the rise of cis-1,4-polybutadiene rubber in the later period will be limited.

I. price trend

According to the price monitoring of the business agency, the comprehensive price of potassium chloride is temporarily stable this week. This week, the average price of the mainstream comprehensive quotation of potassium chloride was 2235.00 yuan / ton, down 6.88% year-on-year compared with the same period last year. Overall, this week’s potassium chloride market was temporarily stable, with the potassium chloride commodity index at 70.95 on November 22.

II. Market analysis

The quotation of mainstream potassium chloride manufacturers this week is temporarily stable: the weekly ex factory quotation of Qinghai Salt Lake potassium chloride is 2200 yuan / ton, which is temporarily stable compared with that at the beginning of the week; the weekend distribution quotation of Anhui Badu potassium chloride is 2270 yuan / ton, which is temporarily stable compared with that at the beginning of the week. This week, the actual transaction in the potassium chloride market is not good. On the whole, the main contradiction in the market is that the supply exceeds the demand, the trading atmosphere is cold, the downstream procurement is just in demand, the overall inventory is low, the purchasing market momentum is low, and the domestic potassium chloride market is stable.

III. future forecast

In late November, the overall trend of potassium chloride market or low consolidation dominated. After the adjustment in October, the capital return of each plant is in good condition, the equipment maintenance is completed, and the production capacity is increased. However, the market of potassium chloride is facing three major pressures, namely, large stock, weak demand and downward international prices. Therefore, the main contradiction in the current market is that supply exceeds demand. According to analysts of KCl in business association, the short-term market of KCl is dominated by low consolidation under the influence of supply and demand and raw materials.

I. price trend

According to the data monitored by the business club, the average price of pet level manufacturers on November 14 was 6425.00 yuan / ton, and the average price of pet level manufacturers on November 15 was 6525.00 yuan / ton. The overall price increased by 100, or 1.56%, and the pet market rose slightly this week.

II. Cause analysis

Products: this week, the starting load of polyester plant is stable, just need some replenishment, and the market turnover is general. On July 15, the main quotation range of pet water bottle manufacturers is 6500-6600 yuan / ton.

Raw materials: PTA continues to be strong shock, with certain support on the cost side. The industry is cautious to wait and see, just need to be picked as needed.

On November 14, pet commodity index was 48.31, unchanged from yesterday, down 53.44% from 103.76 (2011-09-22), the highest point in the cycle, and up 1.19% from 47.74, the lowest point on January 25, 2016. (Note: cycle refers to 2011-09-01 to now)

III. future forecast

According to pet analysts of the business club, it is expected that pet market will run smoothly in the short term, with the main quotation range of 6550-6700 yuan / ton.

I. price trend

According to commodity data monitoring, the price of Yungui yellow phosphorus fell slightly this week. The average price of yellow phosphorus at the beginning of the week was 18866.67 yuan / ton, and the average price at the end of the week was 18800 yuan / ton. The price fell slightly within the week, with a range of 0.35%.

II. Market analysis

Product: yellow phosphorus market price fell slightly this week. Downstream replenishment enthusiasm is not high, market procurement is not warm. At present, the main quotation of yellow phosphorus in Yunnan is about 18600 yuan / ton. The main quotation in Sichuan is about 18800 yuan / ton. The main quotation of yellow phosphorus in Guizhou is about 18500 yuan / ton. The overall market is light, and traders mainly wait and see.

Industry chain: this week, the market of phosphorus ore has been in a weak state of consolidation. The enterprises supply the orders of old customers sporadically, continue to digest the inventory, and the new orders are rare. The average price of 30% grade phosphate rock in China is around 416.67 yuan / ton, which is 1.57% lower than that of November 1. In the first half of November, the domestic coking coal market fell in shock. According to the monitoring of the business agency, as of November 15, the coking coal fell by 4.18%, and the current tax price range is 1360-1500 yuan / ton. Phosphoric acid market maintained stable consolidation, and on-site trading was still relatively light.

III. future forecast

According to the yellow phosphorus analyst of the chemical branch of business society, the price of yellow phosphorus market fell slightly this week, the overall market of yellow phosphorus was light, and the downstream demand was insufficient, so it was difficult to form a strong support for the market. It is expected that the price of yellow phosphorus will be mainly consolidated.

Trade name: phenol

East China market (November 16): 7250 yuan / ton

Trend chart of domestic phenol Market Price

Last week, the domestic phenol Market turned downward to upward, Sinopec phenol manufacturers lowered, and under the pressure of loss of intermediate traders, the intention of low-cost shipment weakened. The manufacturers arranged their orders according to the plan, and the spot supply was a little tight. The East China market took the lead in pushing upward, the terminal inquiry increased, the intermediate traders participated cautiously, and the transaction was relatively flat. The business community expected the domestic phenol Market to operate in a turbulent way today. The East China phenol Market The negotiation range is 7250-7300 yuan / ton.

Up to now, the offer of phenol in various markets in China is as follows:

Rise and fall of regional quotation

East China 7250 + 50

Shandong area 7300

7350 + 50 around Yanshan

South China 7500 + 50

Trade name: acetone

Market price (November 15, East China): 5250 yuan / ton

Key points of analysis: the domestic acetone market is obviously up, the supply in the market is tight, the port inventory has dropped to a new low, petrochemical enterprises have raised the opening unit price of acetone twice in a row, some of the imported goods have delayed arrival at the port, the sentiment of holding the goods to cover the market is obvious, the enthusiasm of pushing up is high, the downstream and trading companies continue to enter the market to replenish goods, supporting the market focus to move up, and lonzhong information expects today Acetone market runs at a high level. It is expected that the negotiation price in East China market will be around 5300 yuan / ton today, with the whole market running at a high level.

Up to now, the offer of acetone in various markets in China is as follows:

Rise and fall of regional quotation

East China 5250 + 100

Shandong 5000 0

Yanshan surrounding area: 5000 + 50

5250 + 200 in South China