1、 Price trend

According to the price monitoring of the business agency, the ex factory price of calcium carbide in Northwest China fell this week. This week, the average ex factory price of mainstream carbide manufacturers fell from 2513.33 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week to 2350.00 yuan / ton at the end of the week, down 6.50%, down 25.46% compared with the same period last year. Overall, carbide fell this week, with the carbide commodity index at 61.57 on April 17.

2、 Trend analysis

（1） Products:

The ex factory price of calcium carbide in Northwest China fell this week: oveganeng’s offer of calcium carbide this weekend was 2400 yuan / ton, down 170 yuan / ton compared with the beginning of the week; Shaanxi coal industry’s offer of calcium carbide this week was 2400 yuan / ton, temporarily stable compared with the beginning of the week; China United Inner Mongolia’s offer of calcium carbide this weekend was 2350 yuan / ton, down 220 yuan / ton compared with the beginning of the week; Xingping Ningxia’s offer of calcium carbide this week was 23 yuan / ton 00 yuan / ton, compared with the beginning of the week, the quotation dropped 100 yuan / ton.

At the end of this week, the actual transaction price of calcium carbide in Northwest China is about 2300-2400 yuan / ton: the mainstream transaction price of calcium carbide in Shaanxi is about 2400 yuan / ton; the mainstream transaction price of calcium carbide in Ningxia is about 2300 yuan / ton; the mainstream transaction price of calcium carbide in Inner Mongolia is about 2350 yuan / ton, and the actual transaction price is mainly negotiated.

（2） Industrial chain:

Upstream raw material Market: the ex factory quotation of Lancan carbon fell this week. Overall, the drop was about 50 yuan / ton. At present, the quotation of small materials is 560 yuan / ton, that of medium materials is 580 yuan / ton, and that of large materials is 650 yuan / ton. The price of upstream raw materials fell and the cost support was insufficient, which had a negative impact on the price of calcium carbide.

Downstream market: PVC factory price slightly increased this week. PVC price decreased from 5675.00 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week to 5657.50 yuan / ton at the end of the week, a decrease of 0.31%, 16.06% compared with the same period last year. PVC prices fell this week, the market tends to be low, and the purchasing enthusiasm for calcium carbide is also low. Overall, PVC market this week has a negative impact on calcium carbide prices.

3、 Future forecast

In late April, the market of calcium carbide fluctuated slightly. The price of raw materials in the upstream is low, the cost support is not enough, the price of PVC in the downstream is low, and the procurement enthusiasm of customers in the downstream is low. In the late April, the price of calcium carbide in Northwest China is expected to drop slightly.