The inquiry increased and ammonium phosphate operated better (1.10-1.17)

1、 Price trend

 

Benzalkonium chloride

According to the bulk list data of business society, the average ex factory price of 55% powdered monoammonium was 3050 yuan / ton on January 10 and 3090 yuan / ton on January 17. The price of monoammonium phosphate increased by 1.31% this week.

 

According to the bulk list data of business society, the average ex factory price of 64% diammonium phosphate was 3595 yuan / ton on January 10 and 3595 yuan / ton on January 17. The price of diammonium phosphate was stable this week.

 

2、 Market analysis

 

Monoammonium phosphate market rose steadily this week. The price of raw sulfur and phosphate rock is high, and the cost support is good. The demand for goods preparation before the first ammonium Festival has increased, and the enterprise has a large amount to be sent, mainly in the form of early orders. At present, the ex factory quotation of 55% powdered ammonium in Anhui is 3200-3300 yuan / ton, and the ex factory quotation of 55% powdered ammonium in Henan is about 2800-2900 yuan / ton. The actual transaction is negotiated.

 

The market of diammonium phosphate is running smoothly this week. At present, the demand for diammonium is running well. Due to many early orders, some enterprises have suspended receiving orders. The price of raw sulfur is strong, the cost level is high, and the price of diammonium is high. The factory quotation of 64% mainstream diammonium in Hubei is 3550-3600 yuan / ton, and the actual transaction is negotiated.

 

Sodium Molybdate

This week, the domestic market of raw phosphorus ore was consolidated at a high level. Near the Spring Festival, there was little change in the on-site supply, and the commencement remained low. The phosphorus ore was mainly used by its own or contract users. This week, the operating rate of compound fertilizer in the downstream increased, the price of compound fertilizer in some enterprises increased, and the on-site trading was good. The purchase of ammonium phosphate increased.

 

3、 Future forecast

 

The ammonium phosphate analyst of business society believes that the downstream demand for ammonium phosphate is increasing, and the on-site procurement atmosphere is good. Due to sufficient orders for ammonium phosphate in the early stage, a small number of enterprises received orders. Under the support of cost, the market is strong and upward. The price of ammonium phosphate is expected to rise steadily in the short term.

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Downstream centralized procurement, n-butanol prices rose

According to the monitoring data of business society, as of January 17, 2022, the average ex factory price of n-butanol in Shandong Province was 9600 yuan / ton. Compared with January 14 (the reference average price of n-butanol was 9133 yuan / ton), the average price increased by 467 yuan / ton, a decrease of 5.11%; Compared with the price on January 1 (the reference average price of n-butanol was 8300 yuan / ton), the average price increased by 1300 yuan / ton, or 15.66%.

 

EDTA

It can be seen from the data monitoring chart of business society that at the end of last week, the domestic n-butanol market in Shandong finally rose after falling for several days. This week, the domestic n-butanol market was in short supply, the operators’ mentality was good, the downstream concentrated goods preparation was good, and the demand side performed well. On the 17th of the week, the domestic n-butanol market rose generally, and the factory increased by about 300-1200 yuan / ton, The high-end price of n-butanol broke through the 10000 yuan barrier again. The ex factory price of n-butanol in East China rose to 10200 yuan / ton, up 1200 yuan / ton compared with last weekend, and the ex factory price of n-butanol in South China rose to 10600 yuan / ton, up 1000 yuan / ton compared with last weekend. At present, the ex factory price of n-butanol in Shandong is around 9300-10200 yuan / ton, and the average price is 9600 yuan / ton. Compared with last weekend, the single day increase is 5.11%. At present, the Spring Festival is approaching, the downstream goods preparation continues, there is no pressure on the shipment of n-butanol factory, the supply side supports the upward market focus, the low-end price of n-butanol has the ability to continue to move up, and the market price difference is expected to continue to narrow.

 

In terms of index, the commodity index of n-butanol (industrial grade) on January 16 was 74.46, the same as yesterday, down 43.50% from the highest point of 131.79 in the cycle (2021-05-16), and up 149.11% from the lowest point of 29.89 on November 30, 2015. (Note: the period refers to the period from September 1, 2011 to now)

 

Melamine

In terms of upstream propylene, according to the price map of business society, the price of propylene (Shandong) continued to rise slightly last week, and the increase was narrower than that of last week. As of last Friday, the propylene price in Shandong market was 7850-7900 yuan / ton. Due to the maintenance of enterprises in some areas, the supply is slightly tight, the downstream demand is insufficient, the wait-and-see atmosphere is strong, the propylene price continues to rise, the resistance increases, the demand constraints, and the price is difficult to continue to break through. At the beginning of the week, the propylene market was 7780 yuan / ton, and the average price at the weekend was 7870 yuan / ton, an increase of 1.36%.

 

Future analysis of n-butanol

 

At present, the downstream performance of n-butanol is good, and the pressure of n-butanol supply surface is relatively low. The n-butanol data division of business society believes that in the short term, the n-butanol market in Shandong will continue to be stable and strong, and more attention needs to be paid to the basic changes in supply and demand.

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Demand was weak and butanone prices moved downward in late January

According to the monitoring data of the business agency, as of January 18, the average ex factory price of butanone in the domestic market was 12133 yuan / ton. Compared with the price on January 10 (the reference price of butanone was 12333 yuan / ton), the average price was reduced by 200 yuan / ton, a decrease of 1.62%; Compared with the price at the beginning of the month (the participating price on January 1 was 11533 yuan / ton), the price increased by 600 yuan / ton, an increase of 5.20%.

 

Azodicarbonamide (AC foaming Agent)

It can be seen from the data monitoring chart of business society that in early January, the domestic butanone market rose steadily after the new year’s day with the support of tight spot supply. On January 10, the ex factory price of domestic butanone was around 12200-12600 yuan / ton, an increase of 6.94% in the first ten days.

 

In the late stage, affected by insufficient demand follow-up, the overall trading atmosphere in the butanone market was cold and the mentality of the operators was frustrated. The butanone market fell for two consecutive days on November 11 and 12. Some factories successively reduced the ex factory price of butanone by 100-200 yuan / ton. The operators’ offers were mostly on the market with the line, their confidence continued to be suppressed, it was difficult to improve the enthusiasm of downstream procurement, and the actual volume was poor. On the 15th, The butanone factory in Shandong lowered the ex factory price of butanone again by about 200 yuan / ton, and then the butanone market was weak and deadlocked. As of the 18th, the ex factory price of domestic butanone was around 11800-12400 yuan / ton, and the average price was 12133 yuan / ton, a decrease of 1.62% in the late stage compared with the 10th. At present, the trading atmosphere in the butanone floor is still weak, the transaction is negotiated according to the volume, and the market news is quiet.

 

In terms of index, the butanone commodity index on January 17 was 131.88, unchanged from yesterday, down 1.63% from the highest point of 134.06 in the cycle (2022-01-10), and up 161.36% from the lowest point of 50.46 on March 3, 2016. (Note: the period refers to the period from November 1, 2012 to now)

 

Sodium Molybdate

In the upstream, according to the data monitoring of business agency, the average price of liquefied gas Civil Shandong market was 5610.00 yuan / ton on January 14 and 5380.00 yuan / ton on January 17, with a decline of 4.10% and an increase of 5.70% compared with January 1. On the 17th, the domestic liquefied gas market was mainly downward, with a significant decline in Shandong, ranging from 60-100 yuan / ton. At the weekend, the civil gas market in Shandong began to decline, and the market trading atmosphere was general. The slight rise of international crude oil has brought limited support to the market, the downstream mentality is cautious and wait-and-see, and there is no obvious pressure on refinery inventory. It is expected that the price may continue to weaken in the short term, but there is little room for decline.

 

Future analysis of butanone

 

At present, the tight spot supply of domestic butanone still plays a certain supporting role in the market. With the calm downstream demand, the butanone market has little chance of sharp price decline with the support of the supply side. The butanone datagrapher of business society believes that in the short term, the domestic butanone market is dominated by multi regional adjustment, and the sharp fluctuation of the market is limited, More attention should also be paid to the travel needs of raw materials and the follow-up of lower requirements.

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The demand weakened, and the polyaluminium chloride Market weakened slightly in the first half of the month

According to the monitoring data, the commodity index of polyaluminium chloride on January 15 was 132.19, an increase of 0.3 points compared with yesterday, a decrease of 7.33% compared with the highest point of 142.64 points in the cycle (2021-11-01), and an increase of 56.77% compared with the lowest point of 84.32 points on August 18, 2020. (Note: the period refers to the period from April 1, 2019 to now)

 

EDTA

As shown in the figure, according to the monitoring data of business society, the market of water treatment products continued to fluctuate slightly in the first half of the month: the domestic mainstream quotation of solid (industrial grade, content ≥ 28%) polyaluminium chloride on the 1st was 2502.22 yuan / ton, and the mainstream quotation on the 15th was about 2445.56 yuan / ton, a decrease of 2.26%. Considering the current epidemic situation and the approaching Spring Festival, the number of enterprises that stopped production before the year increased, the inventory was sufficient, the demand was general, and the transaction was weak; Affected by the inventory situation, different enterprises have different prices. Some enterprises stopped production years ago and have tight inventory. Combined with the local increase of freight cost, the price of polyaluminium chloride has increased to a certain extent; It is understood that at present, most enterprises have sufficient inventory and the overall market is weak.

 

Industrial chain: in terms of upstream raw materials, according to the monitoring data of hydrochloric acid: business society, the domestic market price of hydrochloric acid remained flat at 324 yuan / ton in the first half of the month, which has lasted for many days. At present, the upstream liquid chlorine market is falling, giving poor support to hydrochloric acid, and the downstream ammonium chloride market is falling slightly. It is expected that the domestic hydrochloric acid market price may fluctuate slightly in the near future.

 

Sodium Molybdate

LNG is used in the production process. According to the data monitoring of business agency, the domestic LNG market fluctuated and decreased in the first half of the month. The average domestic price was 4710 yuan / ton on January 1 and 4610 yuan / ton on January 15, down 2.12%. The domestic liquid market has changed from continuous rising after the festival to frequent falling, and the price has also continued to decline. The decline was mainly due to the start-up and resumption of production of the early maintenance liquid plant and the increase of market supply. However, due to the impact of recent public health events in Henan and other places, the start-up of some end users was limited, the demand decreased, the shipping atmosphere of the liquid plant weakened, the sales pressure increased, the prices fell again and again, and many fell back below 5000 yuan, and the market focus moved down rapidly. The LNG analyst of business society believes that under the current situation of increasing supply and decreasing demand in the market, the domestic liquid market is weak. Although the raw material gas flow auction boosts the market, the decline of domestic liquid price slows down or rises slightly, it is difficult to form an inflection point. It is expected that the domestic LNG market will be mainly adjusted in a narrow range.

 

Future forecast: due to the current severe epidemic situation and the impact of spring break, more and more enterprises have stopped production, but the market supply is sufficient, the upstream raw material hydrochloric acid market continues to be stable, the downstream purchase intention is not strong, the trading continues to be weak, and the polyaluminium chloride Market has little change. It should be noted that the logistics costs in some areas of the main production areas will rise to a certain extent due to the epidemic and the Spring Festival, and the future market of polyaluminium chloride may rise due to this impact.

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This week, China’s domestic phosphate rock prices were adjusted at a high level (1.10-1.14)

According to the data monitoring of business society, as of January 14, 2022, the reference average price of 30% grade phosphorus ore in the mainstream areas of China is around 690 yuan / ton, which is basically the same as that on January 10, and the average price is increased by 10 yuan / ton, or 1.47%, compared with December 1, 2021.

 

Benzalkonium chloride

This week, the overall domestic phosphorus ore market was consolidated at a high level. Near the Spring Festival, there was little change in the supply side of the site, and the commencement remained low. The phosphorus ore was used by itself or mainly by contract users. The downstream demand side performed well. The downstream yellow phosphorus Market continued to move closer to the low-end price, the increase of market turnover gave support to the phosphorus ore market, and the phosphorus ore quotation was stable at a high level. As of January 14, the domestic phosphate rock Market in Guizhou has operated stably. The price of 30% grade phosphate rock freight plant is around 630-680 yuan / ton, the price of 28% grade phosphate rock freight plant is around 580-620 yuan / ton, and the price of 22% grade phosphate rock platform is around 290-310 yuan / ton. In Hubei, China, phosphate rock mines are arranged and operated, and the quotation of 30% ammonium phosphate rock ship board is 680 yuan / ton. In Guangxi, the phosphate ore market operates steadily, and the factory price of 30% phosphate ore is around 640-680 yuan / ton. In Hubei, the phosphate ore market is in high order, and the quotation of 30% ammonium phosphate ore truck plate is 660-680 yuan / ton.

 

According to the business agency, the following is the current price of phosphate rock in some parts of China (for reference only)

 

product region grade Price remarks

Phosphate rock Guizhou 30% 630-670 yuan / ton Factory price

Phosphate rock Guizhou 28% 580-620 yuan / ton Factory price

Ammonium phosphate ore Hubei 30% 660-680 yuan / ton Plate price

Phosphate rock Guangxi 30% 640-680 yuan / ton Factory price

Phosphate rock Guangxi 28% 580-620 yuan / ton Factory price

 

Sodium Molybdate

In terms of downstream yellow phosphorus, with the return of new year’s day, the focus of the domestic yellow phosphorus market runs downward. At present, the overall trading of yellow phosphorus market has improved slightly, but the price is close to the low-end price, and the transaction price of the new order moves down. The confidence in the venue is not general. Traders wait and see more, downstream purchases lower prices, and enterprise prices lower. According to the monitoring data of business society, on January 13, the reference price of yellow phosphorus was 32333.33 yuan / ton, a decrease of 20.49% compared with January 1 (40666.67 yuan / ton).

 

Forecast and analysis of future trend of phosphate rock

 

At present, the supply and demand side of domestic phosphate rock quarry is relatively calm. Phosphate ore analysts of business society believe that in the short term, most domestic phosphate ore markets will be consolidated and operated temporarily, and more attention needs to be paid to the news changes of supply and demand side.

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“Rising and stopping” — a year of strong asphalt shock in 2021

Throughout 2021, the domestic asphalt market was strong and volatile. Since the end of the first quarter, the price has risen sharply, reached the highest point in the market at the beginning of the fourth quarter, and decreased narrowly at the end of the year, but the price increase is still obvious compared with that at the beginning of the year. According to the monitoring data of business agency, the average price of domestic asphalt manufacturers in Shandong was 2462 yuan / ton on January 1, 2021, and the price was 3151 yuan / ton as of December 27, an increase of 27.97% during the year. The highest price point was 3712 yuan / ton on October 22, and the lowest price point of the whole year was 2475 yuan / ton on January 4 at the beginning of the year, with a maximum amplitude of 49.98%.

 

Annual comparison chart of asphalt price of business society from 2017 to 2021:

 

The asphalt price fluctuated significantly in the first quarter, remained stable before the festival, and increased significantly after the lunar new year. According to the monitoring data of business agency, the domestic asphalt price rose from 2462 yuan / ton to 2980 yuan / ton in the first quarter, an increase of 21.02%.

 

In January, some refineries and traders in Hebei and Shandong issued winter storage policies, with general prices and less acceptance by traders. At the same time, the demand in the southern market gradually weakened, the terminals were shut down one after another, the inventory of refineries accumulated slightly, and the intention of traders in the region to prepare goods was not strong. Demand constrains the price of asphalt. The extreme cold wave weather in February led to the decline of shale oil production in the United States, the tightening of supply expectations, boosted crude oil, and led to a sharp rise in international oil prices. International crude oil rose sharply, and the price of asphalt market increased significantly. In late March, driven by negative factors such as weak downward trend of international crude oil and limited demand follow-up, domestic asphalt prices rose first and then fell, and the market changes were more obvious.

 

Comparison chart of crude oil and asphalt price trend of business society in the first quarter of 2021:

 

EDTA

In the second quarter, the domestic asphalt market continued to rise, and the rise slowed down. According to the monitoring data of business agency, the average price of domestic asphalt production enterprises in Shandong increased from 3096 yuan / ton to 3430 yuan / ton, an increase of 10.76%.

 

In April, the overall demand recovery was limited, the mainstream market quotation was mainly narrow and volatile, and the overall trend was weak. In May, there were obvious regional differences in asphalt market, and the downstream of some northern regions just needed support, and most of the operators mainly consumed inventory; A new round of rainfall in southern China affects the progress of downstream terminals, and the operators mainly ship goods scattered. In June, affected by the continuous rise of international crude oil prices, the prices of main refineries rose, the market supply of low-cost goods gradually decreased, and the asphalt Market in Shandong continued to rise.

 

Comparison chart of crude oil and asphalt price trend of business society in the second quarter of 2021:

 

In the third quarter, the domestic asphalt market fluctuated significantly, falling and rising, showing a high shock trend in the whole year’s price trend. According to the monitoring data of business agency, the average price of domestic asphalt production enterprises in Shandong increased from 3436 yuan / ton to 3536 yuan / ton, an increase of 2.89%.

 

In July, affected by Typhoon “fireworks”, many places ushered in rainy weather, which affected the downstream construction. The asphalt market was running at a low level. In August, affected by the environmental protection inspection of Jilin Province, Shandong Province, Hubei Province, Guangdong Province and Sichuan Province in the fourth batch of the second round in 2021, the recovery of market demand was limited, and the asphalt market was tepid. The international crude oil fluctuated at a high level in September. The support for asphalt cost is obvious, but the inspection is not over yet. Firstly, the increase of asphalt demand is not very obvious.

 

Comparison chart of crude oil and asphalt price trend of business society in the third quarter of 2021:

 

In the fourth quarter, the asphalt market rose first and then fell, bearing all the declines of the whole year. According to the monitoring data of business agency, the average price of domestic asphalt production enterprises in Shandong fell from 3536 yuan / ton to 3151 yuan / ton, a decrease of 10.88%.

 

In October, some areas in the North entered the stage of finishing and catching up, and the demand broke out intensively. In October, it still maintained an upward trend for some time. In November, the demand in the northeast and northwest stagnated, the demand in the North showed a weakening trend, there may be a small peak in the south, and the demand in the north and south is differentiated. In November, the domestic oil price fell sharply, the largest one-day decline since April last year. The cost support weakened, superimposed with the slowdown of just demand in winter, and the asphalt market was weak. The downturn ended.

 

Comparison chart of crude oil and asphalt price trend of business society in the fourth quarter of 2021:

 

Monthly K column chart of asphalt domestic production price of business society:

 

Sodium Molybdate

From the comparison chart of crude oil asphalt price trend of business society, it can be seen that the domestic asphalt Market in 2021 is highly consistent with the price trend of Brent crude oil.

 

In 2021, crude oil has been advancing all the way and rising in shock. According to the monitoring of business society, WTI crude oil surged from $48 at the beginning of the year to $80 in late October, and fell in shock in the two months at the end of the year. As of December 22, WTI rose 46.94% and Brent crude oil rose 43.29%. The core logic of the rise in oil prices in 2021 is basically highly related to the evolution trend of the epidemic. In addition, under the macro background of inflation expectations, supply tightening and economic recovery also provide impetus for the rise of oil prices.

 

In 2022, the business society predicts that 2022 may still be the era of high oil prices.

 

The trend of oil price in 2021 is highly related to the change of epidemic situation. The trend of epidemic situation in 2022 may improve as a whole and have a positive impact on oil price. Although the mutant strains Delta and Omicron will still play a role, vaccination and mass immunization will continue to weaken the impact of epidemic situation, and the global economy is still in the recovery channel.

 

At the beginning of 2022, especially around the lunar new year, the downtime nodes of downstream terminals of asphalt in China are different, and the downtime is gradually stopped from north to south. The downtime in the north is generally too long, mainly due to seasonal factors. The low temperature in winter in the north is not conducive to road construction. It is understood that the shutdown period in the lower reaches of northeast, northwest and Inner Mongolia is about 4-5 months. During this period, asphalt manufacturers mainly store and prepare goods in winter. The downtime of Shandong, Henan, Shanxi and the downstream of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei is about 2-3 months. During this period, some terminals will have a small amount of goods ready for storage. When the regional price difference is appropriate, some traders will ship goods to the south. The shutdown period in East China, South China, Southwest China, Hunan and Hubei is about one month, which is mainly affected by the Spring Festival holiday, and the terminal shutdown before and after the festival. Asphalt price is also affected, mainly in the doldrums.

 

Overall, the range fluctuation of asphalt market has become an inevitable trend of price trend at this stage. The crude oil is good, the demand side performance is low, and the two sides play a game. The asphalt analysts of the business society expect that the asphalt market will be mainly sorted out in the first quarter of 2022.

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Oil prices hit a two month high driven by tight supply

On January 11, international crude oil prices rose sharply. The settlement price of the main contract of us WTI crude oil futures was US $81.22/barrel, up US $2.99 or 3.82%, and the settlement price of the main contract of Brent crude oil futures was US $83.72/barrel, up US $2.82 or 3.52%. Oil prices hit a new high in nearly two months. Market participants generally expect that the mutated virus Omicron has a limited impact on the global economic recovery, but the oil supply is still tight, superimposed on investors’ belief that the Fed is not as good as the expected hawks, and the oil price rebounded sharply.

 

Benzalkonium chloride

Tight supply expectations and rising risk appetite are good for oil prices

 

Previously, affected by the significant increase in new cases of mutant virus Omicron, oil prices fell for two consecutive days. At present, the main game point in the market is whether the impact of the epidemic on demand recovery is serious or not. Although Omicron virus continues to spread and the number of newly infected people has increased sharply, it has been detected that it is not as destructive to human body as expected, mostly mild diseases. The market generally bet that it has a limited impact on the global economic recovery.

 

In addition, at the macro level, the current performance of the Federal Reserve is relatively hawkish. The latest news, US Federal Reserve Chairman Powell said on the 11th that the Federal Reserve may raise interest rates more times and reduce its balance sheet earlier and faster to deal with the continuous situation of high inflation in the United States. However, this did not change the market risk appetite. On the 11th, the stock market and oil market both rose strongly, mainly because the market generally believed that the Fed might not show its hawk card in actual action. Under the severe background of the epidemic, the U.S. economy is still relatively weak, which was also confirmed by the irrational employment data.

 

What is more important is the tension on the supply side. The current policy of the organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC +) is to gradually restore the oil production stopped during the epidemic by increasing by 400000 barrels / day month by month. In fact, OPEC + production is limited to a certain extent, and the supply growth is relatively slow. On the one hand, it is disturbed by the political factors of internal member states, and on the other hand, it is limited by budget tightening. This was fully illustrated by the previous political turmoil in Kazakhstan and the decline in Libyan crude oil production. In addition, the continuous decline of U.S. crude oil inventory also triggered supply concerns. API crude oil inventory decreased by 1077000 barrels in the week of January 7. It is generally expected that the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) data on Wednesday still point to the decline of crude oil inventory.

 

Future risks are still focused on the uncertainty of the epidemic situation and the demand of the United States

 

Sodium Molybdate

First of all, the performance of US crude oil inventory data in the week before the festival was not ideal, especially the unexpected surge in gasoline inventory, reflecting that the US economy is still relatively fragile. Previous surveys showed that U.S. crude oil inventories may continue to decline last week, but gasoline and distillate inventories may still increase significantly. API also showed that U.S. refined oil inventories accumulated significantly. At present, the market is paying close attention to the release of U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) data.

 

In addition, the epidemic is still the biggest obstacle to economic recovery, especially the uncertainty it brings. Optimistic expectations may only be temporary. In the long run, the economic recovery is still shrouded by the epidemic, which puts pressure on oil prices.

 

On the whole, the business community believes that with the continuous rebound of oil prices, the risk of high accumulation is also increasing. In the short term, affected by tight supply, oil prices may still rise. However, in the medium and long term, it is difficult to continue the sharp rise of oil prices under the background of the tightening of monetary policy of the Federal Reserve and the severe epidemic situation.

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After the festival, the domestic market price of n-propanol moved down slightly (1.4-1.7)

According to the price monitoring data of business society, as of January 7, 2022, the average reference price of domestic n-propanol was 8700 yuan / ton, which was reduced by 133 yuan / ton, or 2.06%, compared with January 1.

 

ferric sulfate (Poly ferric sulphate)

Returning from the new year’s Day holiday, the domestic n-propanol market as a whole maintained a stable consolidation and operation. After the start-up and operation of n-propanol plant in large factories in Shandong, the tight supply situation in the field has been alleviated, the downstream demand is mainly on demand, the supply and demand in the field is relatively stable, and the market price has not fluctuated significantly. Until the 7th, when the downstream demand did not increase significantly, the market situation of n-propanol in Shandong decreased slightly, and some suppliers slightly reduced the ex factory price of n-propanol by about 100-200 yuan / ton. As of the 7th, the market of n-propanol in Shandong was weak, the ex factory price of n-propanol was around 8200-8500 yuan / ton, and the low-end price was 8100 yuan / ton. In Nanjing, the n-propanol market operates smoothly. The ex factory price of n-propanol is around 9000-9500 yuan / ton. The n-propanol plant of Nanjing Rongxin Chemical Co., Ltd. operates smoothly. The ex factory price of n-propanol is 9500 yuan / ton. Local dealers still have reservations about the price. The price is not easy to monitor, which may lead to differences in the specific negotiation situation. Each region also has differences. It is mainly based on actual single negotiation, and we will wait and see the change of raw material price and shipment in the future.

 

Azodicarbonamide (AC foaming Agent)

In terms of upstream ethylene, the external ethylene market rose as a whole. Ethylene prices in Asia fell. As of the 7th, CFR Northeast Asia closed at US $971-981 / ton and CFR Southeast Asia closed at US $961-971 / ton. European ethylene market rose slightly. As of the 7th, FD northwest Europe closed at US $1557-1567 / ton and CIF northwest Europe closed at US $1441-1449 / ton. Ethylene analysts at the chemical branch of business agency believe that the international crude oil price has fallen. The US employment data is not ideal, the expected cooling of demand has overshadowed supply side concerns such as Libya’s production reduction, and the oil price is under pressure. Therefore, the data analysts of the business agency expect the external price of ethylene to fall mainly next.

 

Forecast of future trend of n-propanol

 

At present, after the festival, the supply and demand side of n-propanol is calm, and the market trading atmosphere is normal. The analysts of business agency n-propanol believe that in the short term, the domestic n-propanol market will continue to operate stably, and more attention needs to be paid to the specific changes in the supply and demand side.

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The price of domestic potassium chloride rose by 10.38% (1.1-1.7) this week

1、 Price trend

 

Benzalkonium chloride

As can be seen from the above figure, the ex factory price of domestic potassium chloride increased slightly this week. This week, the factory quotation of domestic salt lake potassium chloride increased from 2890.00 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week to 3190.00 yuan / ton at the end of the week, an increase of 10.38%, up 33.80% year-on-year compared with the same period last year. The market price is about 3800-3900 yuan / ton. Overall, the domestic potassium chloride market rose slightly this week. On January 10, the commodity index of potassium chloride (import) was 111.84, an increase of 1.75 points over yesterday, a record high in the cycle, and an increase of 15.64% over the lowest point of 96.71 on September 16, 2021. (Note: the period refers to the period from September 1, 2021 to now)

 

2、 Market analysis

 

The quotation of mainstream domestic potassium chloride manufacturers increased slightly this week: the factory quotation of Qinghai Salt Lake potassium chloride at the weekend was 3190 yuan / ton, which increased by 300 yuan / ton compared with that at the beginning of the week; Anhui kemico’s 62% Russian White potassium distribution quotation is 4150 yuan / ton, which is temporarily stable compared with that at the beginning of the week; Anhui Badou 62% Russian White potassium distribution quotation is 4100 yuan / ton, which is temporarily stable compared with that at the beginning of the week. The distribution quotation of Xiangyang youdeshi potassium chloride is 4200 yuan / ton, which is temporarily stable compared with that at the beginning of the week. The selling price of potassium chloride actually built in Shanghai is 4750 yuan / ton, which is temporarily stable compared with that at the beginning of the week; The price of 62% white potassium in the port is about 4000-4100 yuan / ton. Border trade 62% Russian White potassium 3900-3950 yuan / ton.

 

Sodium Molybdate

From the downstream market of potassium chloride, the ex factory price of potassium carbonate was adjusted at a high level this week, with an offer of 8133.33 yuan / ton, an increase of 25.13% over the same period last year. The ex factory price of potassium nitrate was adjusted at a high level this week, and the quotation was 5833.33 yuan / ton, an increase of 40.56% over the same period last year. On the whole, the downstream market of potassium chloride is consolidated at a high level, and the demand for potassium chloride is general.

 

3、 Future forecast

 

The overall trend of potassium chloride Market in mid and late January may rise slightly. The start-up of Salt Lake and zangge units has not reached full opening, and they have successively entered the winter maintenance period. The output of potassium chloride is gradually declining, and the supply of goods is tight. The winter storage market has started one after another, and traders take a small amount of goods. From the perspective of industrial demand, the overall operating rate of the downstream market of potassium chloride is not high, and it is mainly just needed to purchase. While the international potash price is high, the domestic potash is still likely to rise. Potassium chloride analysts of business society believe that the domestic potassium chloride price may fluctuate slightly in the short term, focusing on the news related to large contracts.

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The price of sodium pyrosulfite fell again this week (1.3-1.7)

Price trend of domestic sodium pyrosulfite

 

Benzalkonium chloride

According to the monitoring of business society, the price of domestic sodium pyrosulfite continued to decline this week. The average price of industrial grade sodium pyrosulfite was 2733.33 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week and 2433.33 yuan / ton at the end of the week, down 10.98% during the week.

 

Affected by the continuous decline of raw material prices, in January, some enterprises lowered the ex factory price of sodium pyrosulfite again, driving the domestic market price of sodium pyrosulfite down again. This week, the market price range of industrial grade sodium pyrosulfite is 2100-2600 yuan / ton, and most prices are concentrated near 2200 yuan / ton. The downstream has a strong wait-and-see attitude. Enterprises mainly complete the orders of old customers, and the increase of new orders is limited. (the above prices refer to the external quotations of domestic mainstream enterprises, and some unreported enterprises are not within their scope temporarily. The prices are for reference only and have nothing to do with the final pricing of the manufacturer. Please contact each manufacturer for details).

 

Sodium Molybdate

This week, the domestic soda ash price continued to decline, fell sharply by 16.67% during the week, the sulfur price rebounded slightly, increased by 1.64% during the week, the upstream raw material price fell again, and the overall raw material cost remained weak, which will suppress the market price of sodium pyrosulfite in the future.

 

Future forecast

 

Business analysts believe that the price of raw materials continues to be weak, and the downstream trade subjects have a strong wait-and-see attitude. In the short term, the domestic market price of sodium pyrosulfite will continue to be stable and weak.

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