According to the data monitoring of business agency, as of December 14, the reference average price of 30% grade phosphorus ore in the mainstream areas of China was around 687 yuan / ton, which was basically the same as that on December 8; Compared with the price on December 1 (the reference average price of phosphate rock is 680 yuan / ton), the average price increased by 7 yuan / ton, or 0.98%. Compared with the price on November 1 (the reference average price of phosphate rock is 663 yuan / ton), the average price increased by 24 yuan / ton, or 3.52%.
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In December, the domestic phosphorus ore market remained stable as a whole, the supply side was still relatively tight, the on-site inventory pressure was small, mining enterprises mostly executed contract user orders, and the downstream yellow phosphorus was prepared at the end of the year. The market gradually warmed up, providing effective support for phosphorus ore, and the transaction focus in the phosphorus ore field was strong. On the 8th, Some domestic mining enterprises in Guangxi have raised the market price of medium and high-end grade phosphorus ore. after adjustment, the freight yard price of 28% grade phosphorus ore in Guangxi is around 560-620 yuan / ton, and the freight yard price of 30% grade phosphorus ore is around 630-680 yuan / ton. Then, with the effective support of both supply and demand, until December 14, the domestic phosphate ore market continued to operate at a high level, and the overall supply tension in the field will be maintained in the short term. The quotation of 30% phosphate ammonium Ore Truck board in Hubei is about 660-680 yuan / ton, and the ex factory price of 30% phosphate ore in Hebei is about 700-750 yuan / ton, The freight yard price of 30% grade phosphorus ore in Guizhou is around 630-670 yuan / ton.
According to the business agency, the following is the current price of phosphate rock in some parts of China (for reference only)
product region grade Price remarks
Phosphate rock Guizhou 30% 630-670 yuan / ton Factory price
Phosphate rock Guizhou 28% 560-620 yuan / ton Factory price
Ammonium phosphate ore Hubei 28% 660-680 yuan / ton Plate price
Phosphate rock Guangxi 30% 630-680 yuan / ton Factory price
Phosphate rock Guangxi 28% 560-620 yuan / ton Factory price
In terms of index, the phosphorus ore commodity index on December 13 was 125.99, unchanged from yesterday, hitting a record high in the cycle, up 145.21% from the lowest point of 51.38 on December 24, 2018. (Note: the period refers to the period from September 1, 2011 to now)
After years of development, China’s phosphorus ore industry has formed a mature industrial chain, which is mainly divided into three links. Among them, the upstream participants are phosphorus ore mining equipment suppliers, including civil blasting equipment suppliers and mining machinery equipment suppliers; The main participants in the middle reaches are phosphorus ore mining enterprises, which are the owners of phosphorus ore resources and mining technology; The downstream participants are phosphorus chemical enterprises, and the main products are yellow phosphorus and phosphoric acid.
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In terms of downstream yellow phosphorus, the domestic yellow phosphorus price has increased significantly recently. The number of enquiries in the yellow phosphorus field increased, and the downstream enterprises started preparing goods years ago. The yellow phosphorus inquiry increased significantly, the market procurement enthusiasm was high, the supply was tight, the manufacturers were reluctant to sell, and the yellow phosphorus price increased. Up to now, the mainstream quotation of yellow phosphorus in Yunnan is about 45000 yuan / ton; The mainstream quotation in Sichuan is about 42000 yuan / ton; The mainstream quotation in Guizhou is about 42000 yuan / ton. It is reported that Yunnan began to implement the new electricity price in 2022 in January. The electricity price in Yunnan will rise, and the cost of yellow phosphorus enterprises will increase. According to the data of business agency, as of December 14, the reference average price of yellow phosphorus in Yunnan Guizhou was 43250 yuan / ton, an increase of 13.32% compared with the beginning of the month.
Forecast and analysis of future trend of phosphate rock
At present, towards the end of the year, the downstream has started to prepare goods one after another, and there is little change in supply and demand support in the short term. Therefore, phosphorus ore analysts of business society believe that in the short term, most of China’s domestic phosphorus ore market will continue to operate at a high level and stably, and more attention needs to be paid to the news changes of supply and demand.
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