Recent price trend of calcium carbide

As can be seen from the figure above, the factory price of calcium carbide in Northwest China fell this week. This week, the average ex factory quotation price of mainstream calcium carbide manufacturers in Northwest China dropped from 4716.67 yuan / ton at the beginning of the week to 4683.33 yuan / ton at the end of the week, down 33.34 yuan / ton, or 0.71%, up 97.05% over the same period last year. Overall, the calcium carbide market fell this week, with the calcium carbide commodity index at 122.71 on May 14.

Strong upstream support and strong downstream demand

From the manufacturer’s quotation, the ex factory price of calcium carbide in Northwest China fell this week: oviganone’s quotation of calcium carbide this weekend is 4750 yuan / ton, which is temporarily stable compared with that at the beginning of the week; The price of calcium carbide offered by Inner Mongolia Zoomlion this weekend is 4700 yuan / ton, which is temporarily stable compared with that at the beginning of the week; Ningxia Xingping’s offer for calcium carbide this weekend was 4600 yuan / ton, down 100 yuan / ton from the beginning of the week.

From the perspective of the upstream and downstream industrial chain of calcium carbide, the price of raw materials in the upstream market was high this week. The price of Xiaoliao is 1200 yuan / ton this weekend, which is 250 yuan / ton higher than that at the beginning of the week; At the end of this week, Sinochem quoted 1200 yuan / ton, up 200 yuan / ton from the beginning of this week; Dali’s offer this weekend is 1300 yuan / ton, which is 300 yuan / ton higher than that at the beginning of the week. The price of upstream raw materials rose sharply, and the cost support was strong, which had a positive impact on the price of calcium carbide.

Downstream market, PVC factory price high consolidation this week. This week, the price of PVC was 9250.00 yuan / ton, up 61.22% compared with the same period last year. This week, the price of PVC was consolidated at a high level, the market was good, and the downstream was more active in purchasing calcium carbide. On the whole, this week’s PVC market had a positive impact on the price of calcium carbide.

Double positive, shock rise in the future

In late May, the calcium carbide market fluctuated slightly and rose mainly. The price of raw material blue carbon rose sharply, and the cost of calcium carbide was well supported. Downstream PVC market recent high consolidation, the weekend has an upward trend. It is predicted that the price of calcium carbide in Northwest China will rise slightly in late May.

According to the data monitoring of the business agency, as of May 17, the average factory price reference of domestic butanone market was 9466 yuan / ton, which was 533 yuan / ton higher than that of May 4 (8933 yuan / ton), an increase of 5.97%.

After the festival, butanone rose 6% in half a month

After the May Day holiday, the domestic butanone market rose slightly on the first day of construction. On the 6th and 7th, the offer price of butanone factory rose by 200-300 yuan / ton. Factory closures are now higher than before. In May, the operating rate of domestic butanone factories was always low, which was also the main factor for the steady increase of butanone price since the beginning of May. The tight supply on the floor gave butanone price upward momentum. The domestic downstream demand for butanone was mostly just demand. The export orders also gave butanone some support. Some butanone factories continued to be tight in stock. On the 13th of the middle of the month, the domestic demand for butanone was mostly just demand, The quotation of butanone plant rose slightly again, with an increase of 200-400 yuan / ton.

At present, the domestic supply of butanone is still insufficient. The resumption of Northwest maintenance plant is delayed for several days, which stimulates the market. The domestic butanone market offers are mainly firm. As of the 17th, the market performance of butanone in South China was strong, with the mainstream ex factory price of 9650-9750 yuan / ton. The market situation of butanone in East China was stable, with the mainstream ex factory price of 9350-9450 yuan / ton. The market situation of butanone in North China was stable, with the mainstream ex factory price of 9150-9250 yuan / ton.

According to the business news agency, the following is the reference price of butanone in some parts of China in May

product region May 1st May 17th Up and down

Butanone East China 8900 yuan / ton 9400 yuan / ton + five hundred

Butanone south China 9200 yuan / ton 9700 yuan / ton + five hundred

Butanone North China 8700 yuan / ton 9200 yuan / ton + five hundred

Increase of butanone market in the later stage of construction to save downside risk

At present, the high price of butanone is mainly supported by the shortage of supply. In late May, if some parking factories will start up smoothly, the shortage of spot butanone market will be alleviated, and the support point of high market price will be weakened. Therefore, butanone analysts of business community believe that in late May, when the supply tension is relieved, the butanone market may have downward risks.

According to the monitoring data of business society, as of May 14, the average price of n-butanol in Shandong Province was 16166 yuan / ton. Compared with the price of May 5 (the average price of n-butanol reference is 13000 yuan / ton), the average price increased by 3166 yuan / T, and the increase was 24.36% after the saving.

Spot tension just need to support the n-butanol after saving the market rose by more than 24 percent

After May 1 Labor Day, the domestic market of n-butanol rose sharply, with a total increase of 19.54% in the first three days after the festival. Then the market continued to keep steadily upward, and the low-end price of the market continued to rise. As of the 14th, the Post-Saving n-butanol market has increased by 24.36% compared with the pre-saving price.

The reason for the sharp increase in the market price of n-butanol is mainly due to the maintenance of the n-butanol unit after saving. The overall operating rate of the plant is low. The downstream butyl acrylate users just need to purchase raw materials, and the demand is stable to support n-butanol upward. The spot supply of n-butanol is tight, and the market has been in a situation of supply and demand. Therefore, the price of the quotation of the factory rose all the way, and the price of the plant rose in the first three days, June, July and August, The market price of n-butanol in Shandong Province rose to 14700-16000 yuan / ton, which was up 1700-3000 yuan / ton compared with that before the festival. Then in the next week, the price difference in the n-butanol market decreased continuously, and the low-end price continued to rise. On the 10th, the factory price of n-butanol in lihuayi, Shandong Province, was increased to 16000 yuan / ton, up 1300 yuan / ton compared with the previous working day, and the overall quotation of n-butanol in Shandong Province was around 16000 yuan / ton. 12. On the 13th, the normal butanol market in Shandong Province remained in high position and stable operation. The price of individual factories continued to increase slightly, with an increase of 200-300 yuan / ton. As of the 14th day, the ex factory price of n-butanol in Shandong Province was about 16000-16300 yuan / ton, and the average price was 16166 yuan / T. compared with the pre-festival price, the average price has increased by 3166 yuan / T, and the total increase after the saving reached 24.36%

Upstream, on May 13, the propylene market price in Shandong Province rose slightly. According to the price chart of business agency, the propylene price in Shandong Province rose continuously in the first ten days in April, and the price in the second ten days fell sharply, and remained stable at the end of the month. The first two days of May 1 period continued to stabilize. From March to 7th, the price was about 50 yuan / ton upward every day. The price remained stable since September 9. Today, the price rose by about 50 yuan / ton. The current market transaction is between 8330-8450 yuan / ton, and the mainstream price is about 8350 yuan / ton. On May 12, the prices of propylene in the United States and Asia were stable, and their impact on the propylene market was limited. There is no pressure on the stock of propylene market, some units are still under maintenance, and the supply is slightly tight, and some enterprises suspend quotation.

In the short term, the market of n-butanol will be kept in a tight situation, and the market will be put into operation at high level

At present, the spot supply of n-butanol is still tight, but the market price almost touches the ceiling, and the downstream is more and more optimistic about high price. The purchasing is calm compared with the previous days. The driving force of the continuous rise of n-butanol is slightly insufficient, but it is still necessary for the plant to resume work, and the market of n-butanol will continue to be tense in the short term. Therefore, analysts of normal butanol of business agency believe that in the short term, the domestic normal butanol market will generally operate at high level.

Price of o-benzene rises again after the festival

According to the data monitoring of business association, the market of o-benzene continued the previous trend, and the price of o-benzene rose again after the festival. As of May 14, Sinopec’s price of o-xylene was 6200.00 yuan / ton, up 300 yuan / ton or 5.08% compared with 5900 yuan / ton at the beginning of the month (May 1). After the festival, there was a strong atmosphere of commodity speculation, the cost of raw materials remained high, and the price of o-benzene continued to rise.

Strong cost support in the upstream of industrial chain

Since April, the crude oil market has continued to push up, the cost side support has been strengthened, which has driven the aromatics industry chain products to continue to rise, and the price of mixed xylene has fluctuated. The cost of o-xylene continues to be high, and the pressure of domestic o-xylene loss is greater. Since May, the rise of crude oil and mixed xylene prices has slowed down. With the rise of o-benzene prices, the theoretical profit loss of o-benzene has narrowed, and the rising momentum of o-benzene has weakened.

The price of o-xylene rises after the festival

Trade name Quotation type Port Price date

O-xylene FOB US Gulf US $909.56/t 2021-05-07

O-xylene CFR China US $805.00/t 2021-05-07

O-xylene CFR Southeast Asia 795.00 USD / T 2021-05-07

O-xylene FOB the republic of korea US $845.00/t 2021-05-07

O-xylene FOB Amsterdam, Rotterdam and Antwerp US $935.00/t 2021-05-07

O-xylene FOB US Gulf US $909.56/t 2021-04-30

O-xylene CFR China US $800.00/t 2021-04-30

O-xylene CFR Southeast Asia 795.00 USD / T 2021-04-30

O-xylene FOB the republic of korea US $835.00/t 2021-04-30

O-xylene FOB Amsterdam, Rotterdam and Antwerp US $935.00/t 2021-04-30

It can be seen from the external quotation trend that the external price of o-xylene rose slightly after the festival. Domestic o-benzene port high inventory, o-benzene slowly to inventory, external market stimulate domestic o-benzene market, domestic o-benzene market slowly rise.

Future forecast

Bai Jiaxin, an o-xylene data analyst of business news agency, believes that affected by the rise of crude oil, the price of mixed xylene fluctuates and rises, the cost of raw materials of o-xylene continues to rise, and the theoretical profit of o-xylene is in serious loss. With the continuous rise of o-xylene price, the theoretical profit of o-xylene rises, the downward pressure of o-xylene market increases, and the rising power weakens. In terms of external market, the external price of o-benzene rose slightly, which was good for the domestic o-benzene market and stimulated the domestic o-benzene market to rise slowly. On the whole, the high cost of o-benzene continues to rise, which drives the price of domestic o-benzene to rise. The external market stimulates the price of domestic o-benzene. The downward pressure of domestic o-benzene is small, and the price of o-benzene is expected to rise in the future.

Spot market: according to the monitoring of the business community, the quotation of pure polyester yarn market is basically stable in the near future, with some stable prices rising. The price of 32S pure polyester yarn in Shandong Province is about 14266.67 yuan / ton, and the delivery of polyester yarn is generally acceptable. The performance of large factories in Fujian and Jiangxi is slightly better, the orders of small and medium-sized factories are general, and the price is mainly stable. The main transaction focus of T32 in Fujian, Jiangsu and Zhejiang markets is 11900-12100 yuan / ton, In Hebei Province, it is 11200-11400 yuan / ton. In the near future, Dahua imitated yarn has been sold smoothly, the supply of 32S and 38S is tight, some textile enterprises have arranged for a single month or so, and the export has also increased.

Upstream polyester staple fiber: in the near future, the price of polyester staple fiber will return to the wait-and-see market, and the overall purchase intention is weak, mainly in the form of rigid demand. In terms of price, the mainstream 1.4d in Jiangsu and Zhejiang is 7000-7100 yuan / ton, the mainstream 1.4d in Fujian is around 7050-7150 yuan / ton, and the mainstream 1.4d in Shandong and Hebei is around 7000-7100 yuan / ton.

Downstream demand: the price of grey cloth in this period fell slightly month on month. In recent years, the marketing has fallen month on month, the orders of grey cloth manufacturers have fallen month on month, and the price of grey cloth has dropped slightly. Among them: the market of blended fiber grey cloth continued to shrink, and the price index showed a slight downward trend. The spot transaction and order delivery of chemical fiber grey cloth continued to shrink, and the price index showed a slight downward trend. Recently, China Textile City fabric market clothing fabric sales continue to shrink, the mass fabric market turnover fell, the price fell slightly. In spring, the spot transaction of clothing fabric decreased significantly, while in summer, the order of fabric was partially retracted, and the price dropped slightly.

Suggestions: Polyester mainly follows the fluctuation of raw materials, and there is no active rising power. Some factories have been overhauled in the middle and late May, but the production capacity is not large, and the impact on the market is limited. The short-term stability of polyester staple fiber remains weak. Polyester yarn market quotation is chaotic, but the overall trading center is not volatile, processing fees are mostly maintained at around 5000 yuan / ton, terminal demand is limited, and subsequent trading may slow down. It is expected that the overall market will show a small downward trend. Due to the decrease of clothing retail sales in the United States and Japan, and the decrease of clothing retail sales in the European Union, it is difficult for textile terminal demand to increase substantially in the short term. Due to the high price of raw materials this year and the poor reception of new orders in the downstream, the demand in the downstream will be partially insufficient, the market trend will be flat, and the enthusiasm for fabric subscription will decline; In addition, due to the partial reduction of orders from some traders and weaving manufacturers, the supply of fabrics in the future spring decreased significantly, the spot transaction and order delivery shrank month on month, the partial batch orders of fabrics in summer fell slightly, the start-up rate of weaving enterprises was insufficient, and the production and sales of printing and dyeing enterprises were relatively limited. It is expected that the enthusiasm of public product subscription will drop slightly on a month on month basis, and the overall market transaction will show a small drop trend.

On the 10th, the mainstream quotation range of tin ingot in domestic spot tin market was 195500-197000 yuan / ton, with an average price of 196250 yuan / ton, down 1000 yuan / ton from the previous trading day.

The U.S. dollar index fell to a two month low on Friday, and the non-ferrous metal market was boosted by most of the gains. At the beginning of this month, yinman mining announced the resumption of production. The supply expectation in the future was strengthened, and the Shanghai tin market was under pressure. Today, it went against the market. As of the close of the 10th, the settlement price of the main contract of Hushi 2107 was 196040 yuan / ton, down 1.22%.

The supply of goods in circulation in the market is still tight, and the lower reaches have a strong wait-and-see mentality. Stock before the festival consumed most of the market demand, the opening trading after the festival was limited, and the overall trading was cold. At present, the price of tin ingot is on the high side, which suppresses the enthusiasm of the downstream market. At present, it only maintains the rigid demand procurement.

In the future, the business association thinks that the domestic refined tin production growth is expected to be large in May, the tin ingot market supply is expected to be loose, and the future tin market is mainly under pressure.

After the festival, the domestic butadiene market slightly recovered due to downstream replenishment. According to the sample data monitored by the business community, as of May 8, the domestic butadiene market price was 6840 yuan / ton, with a month on month increase of 3.69% and a year-on-year increase of 59.23%.

The domestic butadiene market continued to consolidate, and the downstream replenishment after the festival supported the middlemen. The offer was relatively firm, so it was difficult to find the source of low price goods in the market. However, there is no obvious positive effect on the supply side. The short expectation of the medium-term market leads to the low inquiry price in the downstream and the market performance is relatively stalemate.

For enterprises, Sinopec East China butadiene supply price is 6900 yuan / ton; The 30000 T / a butadiene plant in Liaoyang Petrochemical plant has been running steadily, and a small amount of goods are exported. The latest price is 7150 yuan / T; Dalian Hengli Petrochemical’s 140000 T / a butadiene plant has been in stable operation, the source of goods is normal, and the price is stable at 7210 yuan / T. The 120000 T / a butadiene plant of Liaotong Chemical Co., Ltd. is in normal operation. The main source of goods is downstream pipeline transportation, and a small amount of goods are exported.

External price: as of May 7, the external price of butadiene in Asia was stable: FOB Korea closed at US $935-945 / T; CFR China closed at US $945-955 per ton. The external price of butadiene in Europe rose: FOB Rotterdam closed at 1195-1205 US dollars / ton, up 50 US dollars / ton; FD northwest Europe closed at 895-905 euros / ton, up 15 euros / ton.

Region, country, closing price, up and down

Asia FOB Korea 935-945 USD / T 0 USD / ton

Asia CFR China 945-955 USD / T 0 USD / ton

Europe FOB Rotterdam 1195-1205 USD / T $50 / T

Europe FD northwest Europe 895-905 euro / ton 15 euro / ton

In the future, domestic butadiene traders intend to push up the price significantly under the support of strong external price and downstream demand replenishment; However, the short-term market supply side did not show any obvious positive, and the mid-term market expectation was weak, the downstream inquiry was still cautious, and it was difficult for small single rigid demand to bring sustained boost to the market. Business community butadiene analysts expected that the domestic butadiene market would continue to consolidate in the short term.

According to the price monitoring of business news agency, the price trend of sulfur in East China this week was stable. The average price of sulfur production in the week was 1486.67 yuan / ton, with a steady increase of 2.06% compared with the beginning of the month.

This week, the domestic sulfur market was mixed, the domestic refineries in various regions were operating at a low inventory level, the shipment performance was acceptable, the enthusiasm of downstream plants to enter the market was not high, the market lacked substantive information guidance, and the operators had a wait-and-see mentality. During the week, refineries in various regions of China adjusted their prices according to their own shipment situation, and the price of solid and liquid sulfur in East China increased by 30-50 yuan / ton at the same time; The quotation of solid and liquid sulfur in North China is temporarily stable; The price of solid and liquid sulfur in Shandong Province decreased by 10-20 yuan / ton at the same time, and the domestic sulfur market went up as a whole. As of the 30th, the regional price of sulfur in China is as follows:

region varieties April 30th

East China Sulfur (particle) 1490-1590 yuan / ton

North China Sulfur (particle) 1420-1470 yuan / ton

Shandong Province Sulfur (particle) 1460-1510 yuan / ton

In the downstream phosphate fertilizer market, the prices of monoammonium phosphate and diammonium phosphate were weak and stable. The domestic spring ploughing came to an end. The market demand of ammonium phosphate was weakened, the transaction atmosphere was weak, and the future market was weak. In terms of sulfuric acid, the price trend in Shandong was volatile and downward, with a decrease of 2.30% compared with the last weekend. At present, the manufacturers in Shandong have large inventory, general downstream demand, weak sulfuric acid procurement and machinery, and the market of sulfuric acid in the later stage was reorganized and operated.

Sulfur analysts from business news agency believe that at present, the domestic sulfur market is in consolidation operation, the domestic refinery inventory remains low, the supply and demand performance is relatively stable, and the price adjustment of enterprises in various regions is different within a week. Under the guidance of the lack of substantive information in the market, the short-term sulfur market continues to consolidation and wait-and-see, focusing on the downstream follow-up situation.

The majority of the non-ferrous metal market rose on the night of the 28th, laying the foundation for the majority of the rise in the metal futures market in the morning. As of the noon of the 29th, Shanghai tin rose by more than 3%. Driven by the futures market, the mainstream quotation range of the domestic spot tin market on the 29th was 191500-192500 yuan / ton, with an average price of 192000 yuan / ton, up 6000 yuan / ton compared with the previous trading day.

On the night of the 28th, the US dollar index fell to a new low in nearly two months, and the non-ferrous metal market was boosted by most of the gains. The registered warehouse volume released by LME showed that Lunxi was only 1300 tons, and low inventory triggered the market’s concern about the shortage of tin supply. On Wednesday night, Lunxi rose 4.06% to a new high in the year.

On the supply side, Malaysia Smelter Group (MSc) announced that it has a maintenance plan in the near future, involving about 50% of the production capacity of the plant, which is expected to last for nine months and be completed by the end of 2021. In addition to the impact of local public health events, the overseas tin supply was under great pressure during the year. Recently, the domestic environmental protection inspection has been carried out severely. A large number of smelters have shut down fuming furnaces, and the start-up of enterprises is insufficient. As the environmental protection inspection team is about to withdraw in May, the domestic refined tin production is expected to pick up.

Near the May Day holiday, downstream factories have a certain demand for goods preparation. However, the recent high price of tin ingots has suppressed the enthusiasm of downstream enterprises to enter the market. At present, they only maintain the rigid demand for purchasing. In May, the strict environmental inspection in Yunnan, Jiangxi, Anhui and other places is over. Smelters will gradually return to normal, and the domestic supply is expected to recover, which will improve the current situation of supply shortage.

In the future, the business community thinks that the supply side is tight and has a certain support for the tin price. It is expected that the tin price will be stronger in the future.

1、 Polyoxymethylene market price trend chart

Price curve of paraformaldehyde

According to the monitoring of the business agency, the average price of paraformaldehyde on April 26 was 5900 yuan / ton, which was the same as last week.

2、 Market analysis

On April 26, Shandong formaldehyde Chemical Industry Co., Ltd., with an annual output of 30000 tons of polyoxymethylene, offered 5700 yuan / ton of Polyoxymethylene (96) including tax, which was the same as last time. Linyi Shengyang Chemical Co., Ltd., with an annual output of 9000 tons of polyoxymethylene, Polyoxymethylene (96) ex factory price including tax 5700 yuan / ton, the price is the same as last time. Zibo Qixing Chemical Technology Co., Ltd. has an annual output of 10000 tons of polyoxymethylene. The ex factory price of Polyoxymethylene (96) is 6300 yuan / ton, which is the same as last time. Paraformaldehyde market is fair, mainly used in pesticide resin.

According to the monitoring of business news agency, the average price of domestic methanol manufacturers in Shandong was 2440 yuan / ton on April 19, and 2525 yuan / ton on April 26, up 3.48%.

3、 Future forecast

Raw material cost support, business community polyoxymethylene analysts expect, polyoxymethylene or will rise.